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	<title>Patrick Galey &#187; euro</title>
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		<title>Patrick Galey &#187; euro</title>
		<link>http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com</link>
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		<title>Britain is as safe as houses</title>
		<link>http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/2008/12/28/britain-is-as-safe-as-houses/</link>
		<comments>http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/2008/12/28/britain-is-as-safe-as-houses/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Dec 2008 14:15:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>patrickgaley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Credit Crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance and Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currencies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[euro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pound]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/?p=235</guid>
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Investment in British companies, currency and commodities used to be as safe as houses. Years of lax Labour tax on the super-rich made the City of London a haven for foreign billionaires, all eager to cash in on the square mile&#8217;s burgeoning profit margins.
As the Russians poured in, the Brits poured out, moving abroad and [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=patrickgaley.wordpress.com&blog=5050530&post=235&subd=patrickgaley&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-236" title="sexy_beast_2" src="http://patrickgaley.files.wordpress.com/2008/12/sexy_beast_2.jpg?w=390&#038;h=261" alt="sexy_beast_2" width="390" height="261" /></p>
<p>Investment in British companies, currency and commodities used to be as safe as houses. Years of lax Labour tax on the <a href="http://www.forbes.com/lists/" target="_blank">super-rich</a> made the City of London a haven for foreign billionaires, all eager to cash in on the square mile&#8217;s burgeoning profit margins.</p>
<p>As the Russians poured in, the Brits poured out, moving abroad and living the dream with a robust pound to back up their marble-pillared purchases.</p>
<p>No more. <a href="http://www.oef.com/" target="_blank">The Oxford Economics </a>consultancy will publish results of a survey this week the recent sharp plunge in Britain&#8217;s economic performance, compared with a list of other national economies.</p>
<p>Last year, before the financial storm broke, Britons were better off than residents of the US, France, Germany, Italy and Japan. At the end of one of the most cataclysmic economic years ever seen, we are poorer on average than Americans, Germans and Frenchies. The pound now <a href="http://www.xe.com/ucc/convert.cgi" target="_blank">buys fewer dollars</a>, as it does euros, as it does Argentinian pesos. I imagine.</p>
<p>Oxford Economics predict that in 2009, GDP per capita in Britain will be &#8220;24% lower than in America and will be over 15% lower than in Japan&#8221;. These two economies have virtually zero interest rates in common, compared with the 2% current in Britain.</p>
<p>Britain will fall below even Italy, an economy which has struggled heavily in recent years.</p>
<p>Economic performance and the strength of a currency are symbiotic, <a href="http://notasheepmaybeagoat.blogspot.com/2008/12/gordon-brown-heads-weak-government.html" target="_blank">just ask the prime minister.</a> Investors are shunning the pound as, in all likelihood, the economy and currency will slip further as we see public debt being ratcheted up. If 2008 was the year where people stopped bandying about the metaphor &#8220;safe as houses&#8221;, 2009 will likely see the death of that punning epigram, &#8220;sound as a pound&#8221;.</p>
<p>The fall in sterling should encourage exporters to expand their output, but this will not benefit a country heavily reliant on imports. Goods from within the Eurozone will become relatively more expensive as the pound heads for parity with the single currency.</p>
<p>Britain can no longer hold claim to being a world leader in economic activity or quality of life. The City can no longer wax lyrical about being the world&#8217;s financial services hub. And Britons will no longer be the richest on the beach. We look set for a chastening 2009.</p>
 Tagged: currencies, euro, GDP, pound <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/patrickgaley.wordpress.com/235/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/patrickgaley.wordpress.com/235/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/patrickgaley.wordpress.com/235/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/patrickgaley.wordpress.com/235/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/patrickgaley.wordpress.com/235/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/patrickgaley.wordpress.com/235/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/patrickgaley.wordpress.com/235/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/patrickgaley.wordpress.com/235/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/patrickgaley.wordpress.com/235/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/patrickgaley.wordpress.com/235/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=patrickgaley.wordpress.com&blog=5050530&post=235&subd=patrickgaley&ref=&feed=1" /></div>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>What&#8217;s Hungarian for &#8216;bailout&#8217;?</title>
		<link>http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/2008/12/12/whats-hungarian-for-bailout/</link>
		<comments>http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/2008/12/12/whats-hungarian-for-bailout/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Dec 2008 16:18:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>patrickgaley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Credit Crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance and Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[euro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pound]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/?p=184</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Firstly, I must apologise for not posting in while: been in Brussels and away from my beloved laptop.
In a week where Gordon Brown failed to &#8220;save the world&#8221; the EU summit met to firmly reinforce its public image as a Union marred by mud-slinging and in-fighting.
A key point of discussions in Brussels was the proposed [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=patrickgaley.wordpress.com&blog=5050530&post=184&subd=patrickgaley&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/2008/12/12/whats-hungarian-for-bailout/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/7iPaiylUYW0/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span></p>
<p>Firstly, I must apologise for not posting in while: been in Brussels and away from my beloved laptop.</p>
<p>In a week where Gordon Brown failed to &#8220;<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/dec/10/gordon-brown-save-world-pmqs" target="_blank">save the world</a>&#8221; the EU summit met to firmly reinforce its public image as a Union marred by <a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article5327635.ece" target="_blank">mud-slinging and in-fighting</a>.</p>
<p>A key point of discussions in Brussels was the proposed €200bn bailout planned across the EU&#8217;s 27 member states. It has been hastily assembled to counter the 5 percent drop in European industrial action and dampen the affects of recession in around 15 countries.</p>
<p>Germany have just come on board, not before deriding Gordon Brown&#8217;s planned VAT giveaway as &#8220;<a href="http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/economics/article5331611.ece" target="_blank">crass Keynesianism</a>&#8220;. This, hopefully will be an example of how the EU can, when it wants to, move quickly and decisively, free from tangled bureaucracy.</p>
<p>The problem is, 27 different countries have 27 different priorities. 1 single plan is going to be difficult to agree and near impossible to implement. <img class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-186" title="800px-european_commission_outside" src="http://patrickgaley.files.wordpress.com/2008/12/800px-european_commission_outside.jpg?w=128&#038;h=96" alt="800px-european_commission_outside" width="128" height="96" /></p>
<p>What happens to Britain&#8217;s share if the pound keeps falling at its current rate? Our negotiating power will be compromised. France now has a bigger economy than us. Poland and Hungary are addicted to coal. How can the EU hope to manufacture a panacea of worryingly arbitrary size when there are different rates of deflation, currency exchange and manufacturing decline in different member states?</p>
<p>How will this money be allocated? When? Why €200bn? Why not more? Will this fix all our ailing economies? Is this another piece of legislation from a Union seeking to justify its relevance to an electorate in decline since the Seventies?<br />
As usual, the EU&#8217;s efforts have raised more questions then they&#8217;ve answered?</p>
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		<title>Is it time to swallow our pride?</title>
		<link>http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/2008/12/02/is-it-time-to-swallow-our-pride/</link>
		<comments>http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/2008/12/02/is-it-time-to-swallow-our-pride/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Dec 2008 18:16:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>patrickgaley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Finance and Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currencies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[euro]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/?p=140</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You might not have felt it, but today you took a serious kicking. The pound fell sharply for the third day in a row against the dollar as the FTSE contracted by 2 per cent.
Anyone who has money or family abroad, anyone who had wanted to travel to America, anyone with any bonds, shares or [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=patrickgaley.wordpress.com&blog=5050530&post=140&subd=patrickgaley&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p>You might not have felt it, but today you took a serious kicking. The pound <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601102&amp;sid=a0umLzcgteDg&amp;refer=uk" target="_blank">fell sharply for the third day</a> in a row against the dollar as the FTSE contracted by 2 per cent.</p>
<p>Anyone who has money or family abroad, anyone who had wanted to travel to America, anyone with any bonds, shares or even a passing interest in the stock market should be concerned.</p>
<p>With Britain&#8217;s borrowing set to soar, Gordon Brown is risking a run on our currency, although of course <a href="http://news.scotsman.com/latestnews/Osborne-attacked-for-raising-pound.4698618.jp" target="_blank">you aren&#8217;t allowed to say it</a>.</p>
<p>Why would any foreign investor look at Britain and decide that it will, for the foreseeable future, be a safe place for their money? They&#8217;d be mad.</p>
<p>What has made the pound a robust currency in recent, happier times is its versatility. It is independent to the other countries lumped together in the Eurozone. It can mediate between the euro and the dollar, and change sides as it pleases.</p>
<p>Now, in <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/dec/02/construction-recession-economy" target="_blank">tough times</a>, the pound looks isolated. It also brings with it that <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/70aee5da-8566-11dd-a1ac-0000779fd18c.html" target="_blank">debt mountain</a>.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article5267307.ece" target="_blank">Big chins on the continent have been wagging</a> about Britain warming to the single currency. A quick denial followed, but it looks like an increasingly attractive option, at least financially speaking.</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.ecb.int/home/html/index.en.html" target="_blank">ECB</a> has the power to set interest rates centrally, meaning that trade and borrowing between member states is easier. As a single currency with multiple beneficiaries, it is in many countries interest to keep it strong.</p>
<p>Could Britain benefit from this co-operation? It looks increasingly tempting.</p>
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