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	<title>Patrick Galey &#187; bail-out</title>
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		<title>Patrick Galey &#187; bail-out</title>
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		<title>&#8216;Too big to fail&#8217; ensures the small can&#8217;t succeed</title>
		<link>http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/2009/04/28/too-big-to-fail-ensures-the-small-cant-succeed/</link>
		<comments>http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/2009/04/28/too-big-to-fail-ensures-the-small-cant-succeed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2009 10:52:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>patrickgaley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finance and Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bail-out]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Honda]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nationalisation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taxpayers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/?p=435</guid>
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General Motors has the ultimate sales strategy. It churns out millions of gas-guzzlers every year, two lanes wide and each one emblazoned with a proud American badge &#8211; a motor from motown. If you&#8217;re American, they reason, what could be nicer than buying an automobile handcrafted by your fellow countrymen?
Even when this sales pitch doesn&#8217;t [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=patrickgaley.wordpress.com&blog=5050530&post=435&subd=patrickgaley&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p><img class="aligncenter" src="http://www.motorsportsmarket.com/images/dmvcoursegraphics/GeneralMotorsBobLutz.jpg" alt="" width="400" height="315" /></p>
<p><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8021029.stm" target="_self">General Motors</a> has the ultimate sales strategy. It churns out millions of gas-guzzlers every year, two lanes wide and each one emblazoned with a proud American badge &#8211; a motor from motown. If you&#8217;re American, they reason, what could be nicer than buying an automobile handcrafted by your fellow countrymen?</p>
<p>Even when this sales pitch doesn&#8217;t bear fruit &#8211; as has been the case as thousands of Americans have opted for more reliable and cost-effective imports from Asia &#8211; they win. The US government announced last night that the <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/a5326d50-332a-11de-9316-00144feabdc0.html" target="_self">American taxpayer is to take a majority shareholding</a> in the stricken motor giant.</p>
<p>GM&#8217;s advertising campaign may as well state:</p>
<blockquote><p>GM: Either buy our cars or buy us out.</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-435"></span></p>
<p>In <a href="http://www.channel4.com/history/microsites/A/ascent-of-money/index.html" target="_self"><em>The Ascent of Money</em></a>, Niall Ferguson redraws parallels between the financial services sector and Darwin&#8217;s theory of survival of the fittest. The biggest and best institutions swallow up smaller or struggling prey and get bigger and stronger by doing so. The notion of a bank or corporation being &#8220;<a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7607820.stm" target="_self">too big to fai</a>l&#8221; is, according to Ferguson, a deeply unhealthy one.</p>
<p>If an institution needs propping up or risk toppling smaller prey, let it fall; the financial ecosystem will be neccessarily healthier in the long run as a consequence.</p>
<p>The American taxpayer has a right to be pretty annoyed by this effective nationalisation of a company so clunkingly out of date that it continues to make wheezing 4&#215;4s for outback dwellers who haven&#8217;t heard of Japan let alone a &#8216;Civic hybrid&#8217;. More worrying should be the precedent set by a company who&#8217;s business plan is openly unsustainable being helped out by lender of last resort.</p>
<p>If dinosaurs still stalked the earth, we wouldn&#8217;t be here. The US administration needs to be bolder with its big guns and let them fall.</p>
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		<title>In the Brown stuff</title>
		<link>http://patrickgaley.wordpress.com/2008/10/20/in-the-brown-stuff/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Oct 2008 19:06:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>patrickgaley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Credit Crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Work]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bail-out]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[City]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Darling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Miliband]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[polls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[repossesions]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Some of you may have noticed a change in the demeanour of our Prime Minister. Although he&#8217;s not quite started entertaining at childrens&#8217; parties under the alter-ego Gordo the Clown &#8211; he&#8217;s still as dour as a Nairn&#8217;s oatcake &#8211; he has started to look more comfortable in himself.
He now has a purpose; a tangible [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=patrickgaley.wordpress.com&blog=5050530&post=9&subd=patrickgaley&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p>Some of you may have noticed a change in the demeanour of our Prime Minister. Although he&#8217;s not quite started entertaining at childrens&#8217; parties under the alter-ego Gordo the Clown &#8211; he&#8217;s still as dour as a Nairn&#8217;s oatcake &#8211; he has started to look more comfortable in himself.</p>
<p>He now has a purpose; a tangible situation at which he can throw himself. He has a reason for those masochistic 20-hour days. The global financial crisis has been a blessing for Brown.</p>
<p>Now he has the opportunity to call upon all his finance experience and City acumen. As chancellor for a decade, Brown presided over a period of almost unprecedented growth, with low interest rates and controllable inflation. It was the new jazz age in London. Many, many people got obscenely rich, facilitated by a Brown led, risk-fuelled system of lending. Many more people had their pension&#8217;s dissolved or lost. More still borrowed beyond their means.</p>
<p>That was the boom and &#8211; let&#8217;s be clear here &#8211; it was a boom during which Brown was at the helm. His actions led to a wild, risky and ultimately rotten financial system. Not that any of us were complaining at the time.</p>
<p>Now comes bust, and the prime minister is leaning on his &#8216;experience&#8217; to steer us through. The problem is, Brown has no experience whatsoever of presiding over bust. In that sense, he&#8217;s as qualified to run the economy as I am to chair the City University Quantum Mechanics Club.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/camilla_cavendish/article4951851.ece" target="_blank"><span id="more-9"></span>Camilla Cavendish</a>, writing for the Times, commended a prime minister &#8216;who commands new attention on the world stage after his daring rescue of British banks.&#8217; Brown&#8217;s &#8216;daring&#8217; came during the early part of this decade. Now, he is taking action simply because he has no choice. Just as America&#8217;s <a href="http://www.upi.com/Business_News/2008/10/20/The_US_bailout_includes_borrowing_costs/UPI-47351224517288/" target="_blank">troubled asset relief plan</a> was inevitably passed in Congress, Brown and Darling have acted out of a fear of inaction. This is not the same as being decisive.</p>
<p>Reading as a group today the transcript from Brown and David Miliband&#8217;s press conference which followed an <a href="http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,3689196,00.html" target="_blank">EU meeting</a> on the financial crisis, people were tempted to attribute the five new banking beatitudes to our man. Brown didn&#8217;t come up with it &#8211; not even his advisers. It was a multilateral agreement forged internationally. And if Brown is to take credit for it, it will not be the first hypocrisy.</p>
<p>Brown and his advisers are keen to point out this is a &#8220;global financial crisis&#8221;, with heavy emphasis on &#8220;global&#8221;. World fuel and food prices are up, he says. It&#8217;s not solely my fault that we&#8217;re in this mess.</p>
<p>To say that the crisis is entirely Brown&#8217;s fault would be madness &#8211; albeit madness scrawled on David Cameron&#8217;s fridge in magnets. It is a crisis arising from the globalisation of capital and financial systems &#8211; Britain is just an over sized cog in the ailing machine. Fine. Brown&#8217;s not all to blame for the bust.</p>
<p>So why do his supporters still insist that Britain&#8217;s economic prosperity of 1995 &#8211; 2007 was his brainchild? &#8220;Gordon oversaw a period of sustained economic growth.&#8221; No he didn&#8217;t. He was just sat in the seat as the global autopilot whisked us to the stratosphere.</p>
<p>The contradictions continue. Brown, <a href="http://www.number10.gov.uk/Page17196" target="_blank">speaking to Sky News last week</a>, said:</p>
<p>“Let’s never forget we are talking about households that are paying higher fuel bills as a result of global oil prices,  we’re talking about small businesses that are lacking capital because of a global financial crisis, we’re talking about couples and families that cannot get mortgages because of a global crisis, we’re talking about families and communities hit by unemployment because of this global financial crisis.”</p>
<p>Let us never forget that &#8216;couples and families&#8217; are losing their homes via a bank owned by the government. <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/7676671.stm" target="_blank">Northern Rock aren&#8217;t exactly helping</a> these families.</p>
<p>Fortunately or &#8211; more likely &#8211; accidentally, the public seem to see through any such talk of a &#8216;Brown bounce&#8217;. <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2008/oct/20/polls-economy" target="_blank">The latest polls</a> show that Brown&#8217;s &#8216;pioneering&#8217; approach to this problem has not improved opinion of Labour. This could be because most people don&#8217;t like the idea of Brown making political hay as their roofs let in the thunderstorm.</p>
<p>Whatever the reason, let&#8217;s hope these figures put pay to talk of a snap election. Brown hasn&#8217;t changed <em>that</em> much. He&#8217;s still desperate to cling to the position for which he clawed at Blair&#8217;s door for a decade. As<a href="http://www.timesonline.typepad.com/comment/" target="_blank"> Daniel Finkelstein says on his blog</a>: &#8220;The idea that [Brown] was resurgent was largely the result of one journalist copying another.&#8221;</p>
<p>Today&#8217;s ultra-instant communication means that <a href="http://www.sptimes.com/2006/12/31/Opinion/Newspapers_print_the_.shtml" target="_blank">journalists sometimes get ahead of themselves</a>. It means that we have developed rather short-term memories. Thankfully, the public can hold a grudge like <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W9E-iK-IvIs" target="_blank">the Black Mamba</a>. When this prickly crisis turns into dull recession, when 2 million are unemployed by Christmas and when inflation means the elderly can&#8217;t heat themselves or rely on their pensions &#8211; they will remember who lead them there.</p>
<p>The credit crunch, although an immediate positive for Brown, will, come the next General Election, be an erstwhile prime minister&#8217;s eulogy.</p>
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